full pool withdrawal evaporation

Grimes County, Texas  /  the Terafab chip plant

A living reservoir, and the plant that would drink it down

Watch what a SpaceX, Tesla, and Intel megafab could take from Gibbons Creek. Move the controls, or press play to run a year and see the water rise and fall.

Reservoir 94% full Net this year +0.1 B gal
Illustrative model. Storage and water rights are documented; inflow and evaporation are estimates.
Electrical loadestimated1,500 MW
200 MW5,000 MW

One leading fab draws about 200 MW. Terafab spans four phases, so full build is plausibly in the gigawatts.

Water consumed per yearknown cap3.2 B gal
0.56.0 B gal

The site's water rights permit consuming up to 3.2 billion gallons a year, removed and not returned.

On-site power from gasknown plan100 %
0%100%

SpaceX plans to run off-grid on its own gas plants. More gas means more smoke over the water.

Drought severityscenario0 % less inflow
NormalSevere

Cuts the stream feeding the lake. Watch the water drop and the shoreline appear.

Why a tool, not one number. SpaceX has not published the plant's power or water specs. Controls tagged known come from public records; those tagged estimated are modeled from comparable fabs. The honest answer is a range.

One year at these settings

What the plant would demand

Electricity / year
13.1TWh

Power for 1.22 million homes, more than the whole county.

CO2 from on-site gas
5.91Mmetric tons

Like 1.29 million more cars, beside the reservoir.

The lake's yearly ledger

What comes in, what goes out

Billion gallons a year. Storage and the consumption cap are documented; inflow and evaporation are regional estimates, so read the balance as illustrative.

Annual water budget

In and out, billion gallons

Inflow (est.)6.6
Evaporation (est.)3.3
Plant consumption3.2

Net change per year

+0.1 B gal

Roughly break-even in a normal year. Almost no margin is left for the towns and ranches that also draw on this water.

For scale

Measured against the real world

Electrical load vs. other fabs

Megawatts of continuous power

Carbon, counted in cars

A year of CO2, as equivalent cars on the road

What flows downstream

Forever chemicals in the water

Chip making uses PFAS, which ordinary treatment does not remove. These levels come from testing at other U.S. fabs.

Federal drinking-water limit4 ppt
Fab wastewater, before treatmentup to 78,000 ppt

Bars scaled by log of concentration so both are visible. The real gap is far wider.

about 19,000x

over the drinking-water limit. PFAS last for decades, and standard plants do not remove them. Terafab will run its own treatment, but advanced PFAS removal is expensive and not publicly promised.

dischargeGibbons CkNavasota R.Brazos R.

Life in the footprint

The habitat this would reshape

The reservoir is a real fishery and a stop on a migration corridor, and the river it feeds is home to species already protected under the Endangered Species Act.

22,000acres in the reinvestment zone, around a reservoir of nearly 4,000 acres
Texas fawnsfoot mussel
Federally threatened

Texas fawnsfoot

Truncilla macrodon

A freshwater mussel that lives in the Navasota River, the very river Gibbons Creek feeds. It is harmed by exactly what this plant adds: less flow, warmer, dirtier water. Mussels filter the river, so losing them is a warning for the whole system.

Federally endangered

Navasota ladies'-tresses

Spiranthes parksii

A small orchid whose entire world range is this pocket of Texas, including Grimes County. It grows in openings of post oak woodland on sandy soil beside seasonal streams, the same ground the plant would clear.

Wildlife of the reservoir and its banks

Bald eagle

Bald eagle

Winters here, hunts the fishery

Great blue heron

Great blue heron

Stalks the shallows and reeds

Largemouth bass

Largemouth bass

Trophy fish, up to 16 pounds

White-tailed deer

White-tailed deer

Common in the post oak woods

Beaver

Beaver

Engineers of creek and shoreline

Osprey

Osprey

The fish hawk, dives for bass

What is on the land

Illustrative mix of habitat types in the footprint

Prairie and pasture Bottomland hardwood Open water Wetlands and marsh Exposed shoreline Riparian corridor

At the current settings, the reservoir sits near full, so shoreline habitat holds. Raise consumption or drought and the water drops, exposing the banks these animals depend on.

How to read this. Known values (reservoir storage of about 8.5 billion gallons, the 3.2 billion gallon yearly consumption cap, the 680,000 gallon-per-minute withdrawal right, the off-grid gas plan, and the species listings) come from Grimes County agreements, TCEQ water-rights records reported by KBTX, the Texas Water Development Board, and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Estimated values (electrical load, CO2, homes and cars, inflow, evaporation, PFAS levels) are modeled from comparable facilities such as TSMC Arizona and Intel Ohio and from standard factors. They show a plausible range and are not official figures for this project.

Companion report: the fully cited written review contains all sources and an expanded habitat and ecology section.